The market's verdict

The betting market closed with Italy (George) at 2.20 — an implied 42% chance. England (Lucas) upset it.

• England (Lucas): closed 2.68 (35%)
• Italy (George): closed 2.20 (42%)
• Draw: closed 3.95 (23%)

England (Lucas) — recent form

• 2026-06-29England (Lucas) 0-3 Czechia (Eder)
• 2026-06-29England (Lucas) 2-1 Italy (Gavi)
• 2026-06-29England (Lucas) 8-4 Panama (Bony)
• 2026-06-29England (Lucas) 8-3 Ghana (Hurricane)