The market's verdict

The betting market closed with Arminia Bielefeld at 2.42 — an implied 39% chance. The draw defied it.

• FC San Pauli: opened 3.00, closed 2.80 (34%)
• Draw: closed 3.60 (27%)
• Arminia Bielefeld: opened 2.26, closed 2.42 (39%)

The total closed at 3 (Over 1.99 / Under 1.86); the 4-goal final went Over.

Half-time: Arminia Bielefeld 1 - 1 FC San Pauli.

FC San Pauli — recent form

• 2026-08-30FC San Pauli 1-2 1 FC Kaiserslautern
• 2026-08-23Rot-Weiss Essen 2-0 FC San Pauli
• 2026-08-14Holstein Kiel 2-2 FC San Pauli
• 2026-08-09FC San Pauli 1-1 Greuther Furth
• 2026-08-01FC San Pauli 2-2 Deportivo La Coruña

Arminia Bielefeld — recent form

• 2026-08-291. FC Nürnberg 4-1 Arminia Bielefeld
• 2026-08-22SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 4-2 Arminia Bielefeld
• 2026-08-16Arminia Bielefeld 3-0 Energie Cottbus
• 2026-07-08Arminia Bielefeld 3-0 FC Gutersloh