The market's verdict

The betting market closed with Ferroviária at 1.99 — an implied 46% chance. The draw defied it.

• Mirassol: opened 2.75, closed 3.45 (26%)
• Ferroviária: opened 2.31, closed 1.99 (46%)
• Draw: opened 3.30, closed 3.25 (28%)

The total closed at 2.5 (Over 1.91 / Under 1.79); the 2-goal final went Under.

Half-time: Mirassol 1 - 1 Ferroviária.

Ferroviária — recent form

• 2026-07-25Ferroviária 0-0 Maranhao MA
• 2026-07-04Ferroviária 0-1 Caxias
• 2026-07-03Ferroviária 2-1 Juventus-SP
• 2026-06-28Portuguesa 0-0 Ferroviária
• 2026-06-15Ferroviária 1-0 Barra FC

Mirassol — recent form

• 2026-07-25Vasco da Gama 1-1 Mirassol
• 2026-07-05União Suzano 2-1 Mirassol