The market's verdict

The betting market closed with Smith, Keegan at 1.78 — an implied 53% chance. Pavlovic, Luka upset it.

• Pavlovic, Luka: opened 1.79, closed 1.97 (47%)
• Smith, Keegan: opened 1.96, closed 1.78 (53%)

Smith, Keegan — recent form

• 2026-07-24Inchauspe, Paul 4-6 Smith, Keegan
• 2026-07-07McDonald, Niels 30-0 Smith, Keegan
• 2026-07-05Smith, Keegan 0-30 Piros, Zsombor
• 2026-07-03Nedic, Andrej 2-4 Smith, Keegan

Pavlovic, Luka — recent form

• 2026-07-24Pavlovic, Luka 40-0 Alkaya, Mert
• 2026-07-07Silva, Frederico Ferreira 0-30 Pavlovic, Luka
• 2026-06-30Pavlovic, Luka 30-15 Santillan, Akira
• 2026-06-24Faria, Jaime 40-0 Pavlovic, Luka