The market's verdict

The betting market closed with Cina, Federico at 1.51 — an implied 62% chance. Schoolkate, Tristan upset it.

• Cina, Federico: opened 1.54, closed 1.51 (62%)
• Schoolkate, Tristan: opened 2.22, closed 2.45 (38%)

Cina, Federico — recent form

• 2026-08-05Shelbayh, Abedallah 15-0 Cina, Federico
• 2026-08-03Cina, Federico 30-15 Ymer, Elias
• 2026-06-24Gaston, Hugo 0-30 Cina, Federico

Schoolkate, Tristan — recent form

• 2026-07-08Holmgren, August 30-40 Schoolkate, Tristan
• 2026-06-25Mejia, Nicolas 40-30 Schoolkate, Tristan
• 2026-06-22Monday, Johannus 30-15 Schoolkate, Tristan