The market's verdict

The betting market closed with Real Madrid at 1.84 — an implied 51% chance. The draw defied it.

• Real Madrid: opened 1.35, closed 1.84 (51%)
• ACF Fiorentina: opened 6.60, closed 3.60 (26%)
• Draw: opened 5.40, closed 4.00 (23%)

The total closed at 3 (Over 1.58 / Under 2.26); the 4-goal final went Over.

Half-time: Real Madrid 2 - 1 ACF Fiorentina.

ACF Fiorentina — recent form

• 2026-07-29Watford FC 0-1 ACF Fiorentina
• 2026-07-25Queens Park Rangers 3-2 ACF Fiorentina