The market's verdict

The betting market closed with Dolphins (Nrl) at 1.86 — an implied 50% chance. Newcastle Knights upset it.

• Dolphins (Nrl): opened 1.72, closed 1.86 (50%)
• Draw: opened 26.00, closed 20.00 (5%)
• Newcastle Knights: opened 2.17, closed 2.02 (46%)

Half-time: Newcastle Knights 12 - 0 Dolphins (Nrl).

Dolphins (Nrl) — recent form

• 2026-06-20Wests Tigers 22-34 Dolphins (Nrl)

Newcastle Knights — recent form

• 2026-07-02Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks 4-18 Newcastle Knights
• 2026-06-28Newcastle Knights 12-6 Wests Tigers
• 2026-06-19Newcastle Knights 22-20 St George Illawarra Dragons