The market's verdict

The betting market closed with Nakashima, Brandon at 1.86 — an implied 52% chance. Tiafoe, Francis upset it.

• Nakashima, Brandon: opened 1.79, closed 1.86 (52%)
• Tiafoe, Francis: opened 2.07, closed 1.99 (48%)

Tiafoe, Francis — recent form

• 2026-08-21Musetti, Lorenzo 0-40 Tiafoe, Francis
• 2026-08-19Tien, Learner 30-15 Tiafoe, Francis
• 2026-08-04Tiafoe, Francis 40-15 Cilic, Marin

Nakashima, Brandon — recent form

• 2026-08-19Borges, Nuno 0-30 Nakashima, Brandon
• 2026-08-18Nakashima, Brandon 40-15 Medvedev, Daniil