The market's verdict

The betting market closed with Fonseca, Joao at 1.65 — an implied 58% chance. The favourite delivered.

• Tsitsipas, Stefanos: opened 2.14, closed 2.30 (42%)
• Fonseca, Joao: opened 1.75, closed 1.65 (58%)

Fonseca, Joao — recent form

• 2026-07-03Safiullin, Roman 30-0 Fonseca, Joao
• 2026-07-01De Jong, Jesper 15-30 Fonseca, Joao
• 2026-06-29Bautista-Agut, Roberto 0-30 Fonseca, Joao

Tsitsipas, Stefanos — recent form

• 2026-08-04Damm, Martin 30-15 Tsitsipas, Stefanos
• 2026-08-01Tsitsipas, Stefanos 30-0 Rice, Keegan
• 2026-07-29de Minaur, Alex 40-15 Tsitsipas, Stefanos
• 2026-06-29Gaston, Hugo 30-40 Tsitsipas, Stefanos