The market's verdict

The betting market closed with Italy (George) at 1.83 — an implied 51% chance. Spain (Juan) upset it.

• Draw: closed 4.70 (20%)
• Italy (George): closed 1.83 (51%)
• Spain (Juan): closed 3.10 (30%)

Italy (George) — recent form

• 2026-07-29Argentina (William) 6-3 Italy (George)
• 2026-07-29Italy (George) 4-1 Germany (Vangogh)
• 2026-07-29Italy (George) 1-4 England (Lucas)

Spain (Juan) — recent form

• 2026-07-29Spain (Juan) 3-1 Germany (Vangogh)
• 2026-07-29Spain (Juan) 1-5 Argentina (William)
• 2026-07-29Spain (Juan) 3-2 England (Lucas)
• 2026-06-21Saudi Arabia (Vangogh) 4-0 Spain (Juan)