The market's verdict

The betting market closed with Italy at 1.30 — an implied 71% chance. Japan upset it.

• Italy: opened 1.34, closed 1.30 (71%)
• Japan: opened 3.45, closed 3.70 (25%)
• Draw: opened 22.00, closed 26.00 (4%)

Half-time: Japan 17 - 10 Italy.

Japan v Italy — previous meetings

• 2026-07-02Italy 41-18 Japan