The market's verdict

The betting market closed with Slovenia at 1.09 — an implied 86% chance. The favourite delivered.

• Sweden: opened 5.40, closed 6.60 (14%)
• Slovenia: opened 1.13, closed 1.09 (86%)

Sweden — recent form

• 2026-09-10Italy 3-0 Sweden
• 2026-09-02Italy 2-1 Sweden
• 2026-08-31Czech Republic 0-2 Sweden

Slovenia — recent form

• 2026-09-11Slovakia 0-2 Slovenia
• 2026-08-29France 2-1 Slovenia