The market's verdict

The betting market closed with Melbourne Storm at 1.83 — an implied 51% chance. South Sydney Rabbitohs upset it.

• Draw: closed 21.00 (4%)
• Melbourne Storm: opened 1.88, closed 1.83 (51%)
• South Sydney Rabbitohs: opened 2.00, closed 2.05 (45%)

Half-time: South Sydney Rabbitohs 8 - 16 Melbourne Storm.

Melbourne Storm — recent form

• 2026-06-21Melbourne Storm 40-20 Canberra Raiders

South Sydney Rabbitohs — recent form

• 2026-07-03Penrith Panthers 36-14 South Sydney Rabbitohs
• 2026-06-25Parramatta Eels 12-32 South Sydney Rabbitohs