The market's verdict

The betting market closed with Geelong Cats at 1.69 — an implied 55% chance. The favourite delivered.

• Collingwood: opened 1.86, closed 2.10 (45%)
• Geelong Cats: opened 1.87, closed 1.69 (55%)

Half-time: Collingwood 48 - 65 Geelong Cats.

Geelong Cats — recent form

• 2026-07-24Melbourne Demons 97-117 Geelong Cats
• 2026-07-02Geelong Cats 88-111 Brisbane Lions
• 2026-06-18Fremantle Dockers 99-90 Geelong Cats

Collingwood — recent form

• 2026-07-04Gold Coast Suns 98-104 Collingwood
• 2026-06-20Collingwood 78-49 Port Adelaide Power