The market's verdict

The betting market closed with Iceland at 1.27 — an implied 76% chance. The draw defied it.

• Draw: opened 4.80, closed 6.00 (16%)
• Estonia: opened 8.00, closed 12.00 (8%)
• Iceland: opened 1.40, closed 1.27 (76%)

The total closed at 2.5 (Over 1.63 / Under 2.20); the 2-goal final went Under.

Half-time: Iceland 1 - 0 Estonia.

Iceland — recent form

• 2026-06-28AUSTRIA 2-0 Iceland