The market's verdict

The betting market closed with New Zealand at 1.07 — an implied 86% chance. The favourite delivered.

• Draw: opened 40.00, closed 35.00 (3%)
• Italy: opened 9.60, closed 8.20 (11%)
• New Zealand: opened 1.05, closed 1.07 (86%)

Half-time: New Zealand 26 - 10 Italy.

Italy — recent form

• 2026-07-04Japan 27-10 Italy
• 2026-07-02Italy 41-18 Japan

New Zealand — recent form

• 2026-07-04New Zealand 34-32 France