Smith, Keegan vs Moriya, Hiroki — result

The market's verdict

The betting market closed with Smith, Keegan at 1.36 — an implied 68% chance. Moriya, Hiroki upset it.

• Smith, Keegan: opened 1.30, closed 1.36 (68%)
• Moriya, Hiroki: opened 3.05, closed 2.95 (32%)

Moriya, Hiroki — recent form

• 2026-09-29Jasika, Omar 40-30 Moriya, Hiroki
• 2026-09-15Ellis, Blake 0-15 Moriya, Hiroki
• 2026-09-11Moriya, Hiroki 3-6 Shimizu, Yuta
• 2026-09-09Jones, Maximus 4-6 Moriya, Hiroki

Smith, Keegan — recent form

• 2026-10-02Krueger, Mitchell 2-0 Smith, Keegan
• 2026-10-01Nakashima, Bryce 1-2 Smith, Keegan
• 2026-09-23Smith, Keegan 4-5 Dietrich, Dylan
• 2026-09-21Smith, Keegan 40-15 Winter, Edward