The market's verdict

The betting market closed with Burton, Matthew at 1.26 — an implied 74% chance. The favourite delivered.

• Staley, Jera: opened 3.00, closed 3.60 (26%)
• Burton, Matthew: opened 1.36, closed 1.26 (74%)

Burton, Matthew — recent form

• 2026-09-11Jones, Scott 40-15 Burton, Matthew
• 2026-09-10Estephan, Jerome 40-0 Burton, Matthew
• 2026-09-06Burton, Matthew 0-15 Braund, Alec

Staley, Jera — recent form

• 2026-09-10Staley, Jera 30-15 Girdler, James
• 2026-09-08Staley, Jera 40-0 Burton, Cameron
• 2026-09-07Staley, Jera 0-30 Hoole, Casey
• 2026-08-26Ito, Kuma 0-40 Staley, Jera