The market's verdict

The betting market closed with de Minaur, Alex at 1.26 — an implied 76% chance. The favourite delivered.

• Shapovalov, Denis: opened 4.90, closed 4.00 (24%)
• de Minaur, Alex: opened 1.20, closed 1.26 (76%)

Shapovalov, Denis — recent form

• 2026-06-15Pinnington Jones, Jack 3-5 Shapovalov, Denis

de Minaur, Alex — recent form

• 2026-06-16de Minaur, Alex 30-15 Diallo, Gabriel